Weekly Analysis (26 Feb - 1 March)
Time | Currency | Event |
Monday | ||
15:00 | USD | New Home Sales JAN |
16:00 | EUR | ECB President Lagarde Speech |
23:30 | JPY | Inflation Rate YoY JAN |
Tuesday | ||
07:00 | EUR | GfK Consumer Confidence |
13:30 | USD | Durable Goods Orders MoM JAN |
14:05 | USD | Fed Barr Speech |
15:00 | USD | CB Consumer Confidence |
21:30 | CAD | API Crude Oil Stock Change |
Wednesday | ||
01:00 | NZD | RBNZ Interest Rate Decision |
02:00 | NZD | RBNZ Press Conference |
10:00 | EUR | Economic Sentiment |
13:30 | USD | GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est |
15:30 | GBP | BoE L Mann Speech |
17:00 | USD | Fed Bostic Speech |
17:00 | USD | Fed Collins Speech |
17:45 | USD | Fed Williams Speech |
Thursday | ||
13:00 | EUR | Inflation Rate YoY Prel FEB |
13:30 | CAD | GDP Growth Rate QoQ |
13:30 | USD | Core PCE Price Index MoM |
13:30 | USD | Personal Income MoM |
15:50 | USD | Fed Bostic Speech |
16:00 | USD | Fed Goolsbee Speech |
18:15 | USD | Fed Mester Speech |
Friday | ||
01:30 | CNY | NBS Manufacturing PMI FEB |
01:45 | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI FEB |
05:00 | JPY | Consumer Confidence |
10:00 | EUR | Inflation Rate YoY Flash FEB |
15:00 | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI |
In the United States, investors are gearing up for a busy economic schedule, including several Federal Reserve policymakers' speeches. The agenda features critical data such as the PCE price indexes, personal income and spending, the ISM Manufacturing PMI, and durable goods orders. January's PCE prices are expected to see a 0.3% rise, a slight increase from December's 0.2%, with core prices possibly climbing by 0.4%. Predictions also suggest a 0.3% increase in consumer spending and a 0.5% rise in personal income. The ISM survey may show the manufacturing sector's continued contraction in February, and durable goods orders are anticipated to drop by 4.5% in January. Additional key metrics include the second estimate of Q4 GDP, home sales data, Case-Shiller home prices, and various manufacturing indices.
In Canada, attention turns to Q4 GDP and current account data.
Europe awaits critical inflation and employment reports across the Eurozone and major economies like Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. Euro Area inflation is expected to decrease to 2.5% in February, with core inflation also dropping to 2.9%, the lowest since February 2022. Germany's consumer climate is predicted to improve, and retail sales are expected to rebound after two months of declines. Other notable releases include Euro Area business surveys and Switzerland's economic indicators.
In the United Kingdom, the Bank of England's monetary statistics, Nationwide housing prices, and other economic indicators will be in focus.
Asia's economic outlook includes China's PMI for February, offering insights post-Lunar New Year, Japan's inflation data, and updates on consumer sentiment and industrial activities. India will release second GDP growth estimates for the current fiscal year. Australia looks forward to January's CPI, retail sales, and housing credit figures, with the RBNZ anticipated to maintain its key interest rate.