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Tariff Ruling Shakes Markets (02.23.2026)

Markets reacted sharply to renewed trade uncertainty after a US Supreme Court ruling overturned President Trump’s emergency tariff powers. 

The decision weakened the dollar and supported major currencies, with the euro rebounding toward $1.18 on strong Eurozone PMI data and the yen recovering toward 154 as trade risks resurfaced. Precious metals outperformed, led by a surge in gold to a three-week high near $5,150 and a sharp rally in silver above $87, both driven by rising safe-haven demand amid escalating tariff friction. Sterling also recovered above $1.35, aided by a softer dollar and improved UK business activity, as investors reassessed global growth and trade dynamics.

Time Cur. Event Forecast      Previous
13:00 USD Fed Waller Speaks  
15:00 USD Factory Orders (MoM) (Dec)-0.4% 2.7% 
17:30 EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks  

Euro Climbs on Court Ruling

The euro climbed back toward $1.18, rebounding from monthly lows as the dollar weakened following a U.S. Supreme Court decision overturning President Trump’s emergency tariffs. Further support came from positive Eurozone PMI data, which showed the region's private sector expanding at its fastest pace since November.

For EUR/USD, the initial resistance is seen at 1.1840, while the closest support is positioned at 1.1770.

R1: 1.1840S1: 1.1770
R2: 1.1890S2: 1.1710
R3: 1.1950S3: 1.1640

Yen Strengthens on Tariff Shift

The Japanese yen rallied toward 154 per dollar on Monday, reversing previous declines as new trade tensions weighed on the greenback. Following a Supreme Court ruling that blocked his original tariff plan, President Trump announced a substitute 15% worldwide levy, sparking market uncertainty and supporting the yen's recovery.

Technically, resistance stands near 156.70, while support is firm at 153.50.

R1: 156.70S1: 153.50
R2: 157.50S2: 151.20
R3: 159.60S3: 150.50

Gold Surges on Tariff Friction

Gold prices jumped nearly 1% to approximately $5,150 per ounce on Monday, hitting a three-week high as renewed trade tensions fueled safe-haven demand. Over the weekend, President Trump announced plans to raise global tariffs from 10% to 15% following a Supreme Court ruling that blocked his "reciprocal tariffs" strategy. While Trump stated these new duties would take effect immediately, uncertainty remains regarding whether a formal executive order has been finalized.

Gold sees support near $5105, while resistance is around $5200.

R1: 5200S1: 5105
R2: 5240S2: 5040
R3: 5300S3: 4900

Sterling Reclaims $1.35

The British pound climbed back above $1.35, recovering from a one-month low as the US dollar softened. This reversal followed a US Supreme Court ruling overturning President Trump’s broad emergency tariffs. Market sentiment also found support from upbeat domestic data, with the latest S&P Global UK PMI showing private-sector activity expanded in February at its fastest pace since April 2024.

From a technical view, support stands near 1.3360, with resistance around 1.3540.

R1: 1.3540S1: 1.3360
R2: 1.3670S2: 1.3290
R3: 1.3750S3: 1.3080

Silver Surges Past $87

Silver prices jumped 3% to trade above $87 per ounce on Monday, marking a fourth consecutive session of gains. This rally follows renewed global trade friction as President Trump raised the international tariff from 10% to 15% after a Supreme Court setback. In response, Europe’s trade chief signaled a pause on a key U.S. trade pact, and India postponed negotiations for an interim agreement. These escalating tensions have significantly increased demand for silver as a safe-haven asset.

From a technical view, resistance stands near $88.50 while support is located around $85.80.

R1: 88.50S1: 85.80
R2: 89.90S2: 82.40
R3: 93.00S3: 79.00
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