The ECB cut its three key interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%, the main refinancing rate to 2.65%, and the marginal lending rate to 2.90%.
The ECB cut its three key interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%, the main refinancing rate to 2.65%, and the marginal lending rate to 2.90%. This decision reflects an updated assessment of inflation dynamics and the transmission of monetary policy.
The ECB acknowledged that monetary policy is becoming significantly less restrictive, easing borrowing costs for businesses and households. Inflation is now projected to average 2.3% in 2025, 1.9% in 2026, and 2.0% in 2027, with core inflation also approaching the 2% target. While domestic inflation remains elevated due to delayed wage and price adjustments, wage growth is showing signs of moderation.
Meanwhile, economic growth forecasts have been revised downward to 0.9% for 2025 and 1.2% for 2026, reflecting weaker exports and investment. The ECB remains data-driven and will adjust its policy as necessary to ensure inflation stabilizes around its 2% medium-term target without committing to a predefined rate path.

Source: European Central Bank
The dollar index steadied above 96 after hitting a four-year low, supported by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s reaffirmation of a strong dollar policy despite earlier signals favoring a weaker currency.
The euro surged to a five-year high above 1.2050 as broad dollar weakness accelerated on renewed tariff threats and President Trump’s support for a weaker currency.
Trump Proposes 25% Tariff on Korean ImportsPresident Donald Trump announced plans to hike tariffs on South Korean imports to 25%, up from the current 15%. He cited the South Korean legislature’s failure to ratify a trade deal finalized in late 2025 as the primary reason for the increase. The move targets key sectors including automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber.
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