The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased in the final week of May, suggesting some softening in the labor market.
According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor, seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims rose to 247,000 for the week ending May 31. This represents an increase of 8,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 239,000. The original figure for that week had been reported as 240,000.
The four-week moving average for initial claims, which helps smooth out weekly volatility, also rose. It reached 235,000, up by 4,500 from the prior week’s revised average of 230,500. This upward trend indicates a gradual rise in new applications for unemployment assistance.
Meanwhile, the data for continuing claims, which reflect the number of individuals still receiving unemployment benefits, presented a more mixed picture. For the week ending May 24, the seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate fell slightly to 1.2%, down by 0.1 percentage point.
Continuing claims decreased by 3,000 to a total of 1,904,000. This followed a downward revision of the prior week's figure, which was adjusted from 1,919,000 to 1,907,000.
However, the four-week moving average of continuing claims edged higher, reaching 1,895,250. This is an increase of 8,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 1,887,250. It marks the highest level for this average since late November 2021, when it stood at 1,923,500.
The latest figures point to a labor market that remains relatively resilient but may be beginning to feel the effects of tighter monetary policy and broader economic uncertainty. Economists will closely monitor upcoming employment reports to assess whether these trends signal a more sustained slowdown.
The dollar index slipped below 97 as markets awaited delayed January jobs data, with weak retail sales and reports of China urging banks to cut US Treasury exposure adding pressure on the currency.
The dollar index stayed under pressure on Tuesday as fears of softer foreign demand for US assets, reports of Chinese banks cutting Treasury holdings, expectations of delayed US jobs and inflation data, and a firmer yen on intervention talk weighed on the greenback.
Precious Metals Rebound (09-13 February)Global markets began the week with the US dollar under pressure, falling under 97.5 for a second consecutive session. The greenback’s decline was fueled by a combination of improved risk sentiment and expectations of stable Federal Reserve policy with potential rate cuts on the horizon. Investors remained cautious as they awaited a backlog of delayed US economic data, including employment and inflation figures.
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