The euro regained ground near 1.1200, supported by reserve status momentum and a weaker dollar, while the Japanese yen strengthened on growing pressure to eliminate U.S. car tariffs.
Gold hovered near $3,155 after a sharp drop, weighed by improved risk appetite, and silver slipped below $31.90 despite soft inflation data aiding foreign demand. Meanwhile, GBP/USD climbed toward 1.3300, supported by easing U.S. tariffs on British goods and expectations for key UK GDP data.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 06:00 | GBP | United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.3%(Act) | 1.5% |
| 06:00 | GBP | United Kingdom Monthly GDP MoM | 0.2%(Act) | 0.5% |
| 09:00 | EUR | Eurozone GDP (YoY) | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| 12:30 | USD | United States Producer Price Inflation MoM | 0.2% | -0.4% |
| 12:30 | USD | U.S. Retail Sales | 0.0% | 1.4% |
EUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.
Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.
EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
| R1: 1.1260 | S1: 1.1040 |
| R2: 1.1460 | S2: 1.1000 |
| R3: 1.1580 | S3: 1.0960 |
The Japanese Yen strengthened to around 146 per dollar, marking its third straight gain as global trade concerns weighed on the U.S. Dollar. Asian currencies broadly rose with speculation that the U.S. may be favoring a weaker Dollar to aid trade talks. Trump’s administration argues that undervalued Asian currencies create unfair competition for American exporters.
Meanwhile, Japan continues U.S. trade negotiations, with PM Shigeru Ishiba pushing for a deal that includes the auto sector and the removal of the 25% car tariff.
USD/JPY faces resistance at 148.60, with further levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support is seen at 139.70, then 137.00, and 135.00.
| R1: 148.60 | S1: 139.70 |
| R2: 149.80 | S2: 137.00 |
| R3: 151.20 | S3: 135.00 |
Gold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
| R1: 3325 | S1: 3120 |
| R2: 3300 | S2: 3030 |
| R3: 3350 | S3: 2956 |
GBP/USD trades near 1.3280 early Thursday, recovering recent losses as the dollar softens with ongoing trade policy discussions. Optimism over reduced U.S. tariffs on British goods like cars and steel helps strengthen the appeal of the Pound.
However, weaker UK employment data and slow wage growth may increase pressure on the BoE to consider further easing. Traders now await UK Q1 GDP and U.S. CPI data. Despite global uncertainties, improving trade conditions have reduced bets on aggressive Fed cuts, with markets now pricing a 74% chance of a 25 bp cut in September instead of July.
The pair faces resistance at 1.3320, with higher levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support sits at 1.3160, then 1.3000 and 1.2960.
| R1: 1.3320 | S1: 1.3160 |
| R2: 1.3450 | S2: 1.3000 |
| R3: 1.3550 | S3: 1.2960 |
Silver slipped below $31.90 on Thursday, pressured by easing safe-haven demand after the U.S. and China agreed in Switzerland to cut tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively for 90 days. While the deal briefly lifted sentiment, uncertainty looms over what comes next.
The drop in geopolitical tensions has also dampened expectations for aggressive Fed cuts. However, weak U.S. inflation data from earlier this week supported silver by softening the Dollar and improving its appeal to international buyers.
Silver faces resistance at $32.50, followed by $33.80 and $34.20. Support is found at $31.40, with lower levels at $30.20 and $29.80.
| R1: 32.50 | S1: 31.40 |
| R2: 33.80 | S2: 30.20 |
| R3: 34.20 | S3: 29.80 |
EUR/USD rebounded near 1.1330 as Treasury yields fell and traders awaited Eurozone GDP data.
Detail
Memorial Day (26-27 May, 2025)Trading conditions for certain instruments will be changed due to the Memorial Day Holiday on 26 and 27th May, 2025.
Detail Euro and Pound Rise on U.S. Fiscal Worries (05.22.2025)The euro and British pound extended their rallies on Thursday amid mounting concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook, following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
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