Inflation in the UK picked up pace in June 2025, largely due to a rebound in fuel prices.
The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) rose by 4.1% year-on-year, a slight increase from 4.0% in May. On a monthly basis, CPIH rose 0.3%, compared to 0.2% in the same month last year.
The standard Consumer Prices Index (CPI) showed a similar trend, climbing to 3.6% annually, up from 3.4% in May. Monthly CPI growth also reached 0.3%, higher than the 0.1% gain recorded in June 2024.
The main driver behind the rise in both CPIH and CPI was the transport sector, with motor fuel prices playing a key role in pushing inflation higher. On the other hand, housing and household services, particularly owner occupiers’ housing costs, helped to slightly offset the overall upward pressure on CPIH.
Core inflation also edged higher, showing persistent price pressures:
Core CPIH (excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco) rose to 4.3%, up from 4.2% in May.
Core CPI increased to 3.7%, compared to 3.5% the previous month.

With fuel prices adding fresh momentum and goods inflation gaining traction, the data signals that price pressures remain broad-based. While housing costs provided some relief, the overall inflation outlook continues to demand close attention.
Source: Office for National Statistics
Markets shifted toward risk-on sentiment as easing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around Federal Reserve policy pressured the U.S. dollar. EUR/USD climbed toward 1.18, reaching multi-month highs, while sterling also advanced to a seven-week peak.
US-Iran Talks End Without BreakthroughDiplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran ended without an agreement after more than 21 hours of discussions in Pakistan, marking another setback in efforts to ease pressure surrounding Iran’s nuclear program and regional role.
Detail
Oil Shock and Inflation Reprice Global Markets (13 – 17 April)Global sentiment shifted this week as markets balanced high-stakes diplomacy in Islamabad with a severe energy supply squeeze. While talks between US and Iranian officials provided a fragile glimmer of hope, the US-led blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered by a breakdown in weekend negotiations, sent Brent crude surging 8% to approximately $103/barrel.
DetailThen Join Our Telegram Channel and Subscribe Our Trading Signals Newsletter for Free!
Join Us On Telegram!