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Tesla Tumbles, Musk–Trump Clash Shakes U.S. Markets (06.06.2025)

On June 6, global markets were mixed as investors awaited the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report and kept a close eye on geopolitical tensions.

U.S. equities dipped, driven by a sharp decline in Tesla shares following a high-profile clash between Elon Musk and President Trump. European and Asian markets reflected cautious optimism, while gold rose on safe-haven demand and oil prices edged lower. The U.S. dollar weakened, boosting the euro and British pound.

TimeCur.EventForecastPrevious
09:00    EUR   GDP (YoY)1.2%      1.2%
09:00EURGDP (QoQ) (Q1)0.3%      0.2%
12:30 USDAverage Hourly Earnings (MoM) (May)0.3%      0.2%
12:30  USD               Nonfarm Payrolls (May)               127K      177K
12:30  USD           Unemployment Rate (May)         4.2%4.2%

Euro Holds Firm as ECB Signals Pause

The euro remained firm above 1.144, supported by a weaker dollar and the ECB’s widely expected rate cut. President Lagarde hinted the bank may be nearing the end of its easing cycle. Updated forecasts show headline inflation averaging 2.0% in 2025, dropping to 1.6% in 2026, and returning to 2.0% by 2027, revised downward due to falling energy prices and a stronger euro. Core inflation projections were mostly unchanged. GDP growth is projected to rise gradually from 0.9% in 2025 to 1.3% in 2027.

The key resistance is at 1.1460, while the first support stands at 1.1320.

R1: 1.1460S1: 1.1320
R2: 1.1500S2: 1.1260
R3: 1.1580S3: 1.1210

Yen Slips as Markets Await Jobs Data

The Japanese yen slipped toward 144 per dollar on Friday as markets remained cautious ahead of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. A phone call between Presidents Trump and Xi revived trade talks but produced no concrete results. Meanwhile, Japan’s household spending declined in April with rising prices, pressuring the BOJ Governor Ueda reaffirmed the bank’s readiness to raise rates if conditions allow.

Resistance is seen at 144.40, while support lies at 142.50.

R1: 144.40S1: 142.50
R2: 144.70S2: 142.10
R3: 146.10S3: 141.50

Gold Rebounds on Weak U.S. Data 

Gold climbed to around $3,360 per ounce on Friday, rebounding after Thursday’s dip. Demand increased following weak U.S. data and dovish signals from the Fed ahead of the NFP report. Jobless claims hit their highest since October 2024, Q1 productivity was revised down, and services sector data surprised with a contraction. A narrower trade deficit suggested weaker imports. Optimism over resumed U.S.-China trade talks limited further gains, though no firm outcomes were reached. Gold is on track for a 2% weekly rise.

The first resistance is at $3,392, with initial support at $3,320.

R1: 3392S1: 3320
R2: 3435S2: 3290
R3: 3500S3: 3250

Pound Near 3-Year High as BoE Stays Cautious

Sterling traded around $1.3576 on June 6, hovering near a three-year high. Support came from the UK’s exemption from U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs and the Bank of England’s cautious stance amid ongoing inflation concerns. The dollar weakened following soft U.S. economic data and rising trade uncertainty. Traders are now focused on the U.S. jobs report for further direction.

The first resistance is at 1.3600, while key support is at 1.3425.

R1: 1.3600S1: 1.3425
R2: 1.3750S2: 1.3165
R3: 1.3850S3: 1.2890

Silver Hits 12-Year High on Fed Cut Hopes

Silver surged to $36 per ounce on Friday, its highest level since February 2012, driven by weak U.S. data and rising expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. Higher jobless claims, weak private hiring, and a surprise contraction in services signaled labor market softness, prompting safe-haven flows. Geopolitical concerns added pressure, as Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, despite resuming trade talks with Xi.

Resistance is seen at 36.50, while support stands at 35.40.

R1: 36.50S1: 35.40
R2: 37.20S2: 34.85
R3: 37.50S3: 33.80
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