The Eurozone private sector expanded at its fastest pace in more than a year in August 2025, according to the latest survey data. The HCOB Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 51.1, up from 50.9 in July and surpassing expectations for a slowdown to 50.7. The result points to resilience in the region’s economy despite ongoing global uncertainties.
Growth was fueled by:
For the first time in 14 months, new orders rose at the aggregate level, helping firms expand capacity and prompting stronger hiring. Employment rose for the sixth month in a row, reflecting improving demand conditions.
Input cost inflation accelerated to its highest level in five months, prompting the strongest increase in output charges in four months. Rising costs in both services and manufacturing are adding to inflationary pressures within the bloc.
Despite the stronger PMI figures, business confidence eased for the second straight month. Companies cited potential U.S. tariffs and broader economic headwinds as key risks. The data suggest that while activity is rebounding, sentiment remains fragile and vulnerable to external shocks.
Inflation and interest rate expectations took center stage as surging energy costs and stronger U.S. producer prices reshaped the policy outlook. The dollar index held above 99 as surprisingly hotter U.S. producer inflation pushed Fed rate hike odds to 71%.
Detail
US Producer Inflation AcceleratesUS producer prices rose 0.4% month-on-month in August, following a revised 0.1% increase in July. The reading matched market expectations and marked the strongest monthly increase in three years.
Detail Euro Gains Ahead of ECB Decision (09.10.2026)Monetary policy expectations remained the main driver on Thursday, with the euro advancing toward 1.1640 ahead of a widely anticipated ECB rate hike.
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