The Market Moves as Tariff Ruling Lifts Dollar (05.29.2025)

Euro Weakens Near 1.1240 Amid Economic Releases

EUR/USD extended its decline for a third straight session, trading near 1.1240 during Thursday’s Asian hours. Market attention is now turning to key upcoming U.S. economic releases, including Q1 Annualized GDP, quarterly PCE Prices, and weekly Jobless Claims. The U.S. dollar gained strength following a federal court decision on Wednesday, which blocked former President Trump’s attempt to enforce "Liberation Day" tariffs, ruling the measure unconstitutional and beyond presidential authority, according to a Manhattan court panel.

The key resistance is located at 1.1290 and the first support stands at 1.1200.

Yen Stabilizes as Risk Sentiment Improves

The Japanese Yen edged up from a two-week low on Thursday but lacked strong momentum, as risk appetite improved after a U.S. court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, reducing demand for safe havens. Concerns over Japan’s rising debt continue to pressure the Yen. Meanwhile, USD/JPY rose for a fourth day, supported by hawkish FOMC minutes, though markets still expect a Fed rate cut. Expectations of a more hawkish Bank of Japan helped limit the Yen’s losses.

The key resistance is at $147.10 meanwhile the major support is located at $145.00.

Gold Extends Decline as Safe-Haven Demand Weakens

Gold fell below $3,260 on Thursday, its fourth straight decline, as easing tariff fears reduced safe-haven demand. The drop followed a U.S. court ruling that Trump exceeded his authority in imposing tariffs, ordering their removal. The decision is expected to be appealed. Fed minutes showed a cautious stance as officials assess policy impacts, citing risks of both inflation and job losses. Meanwhile, U.S. gold exports to Switzerland surged in April after metal tariffs were lifted, shifting global trade flows.

The first critical support for gold is seen at the $3245 and the first resistance is located at $3295.

Sterling Holds Ahead of U.S. GDP

GBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar after a court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling he lacked authority to impose them. Markets now await preliminary US Q1 GDP data. Fed minutes showed rising uncertainty, with policymakers favoring a cautious, steady rate path. In the UK, food inflation rose for a fourth month, prompting Barclays to delay its rate cut forecast to February 2026, which may support the Pound.

The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.

Fed Minutes and Tariff Delay Support Silver

Silver traded near $33.15 on Thursday, steady after Fed minutes showed a cautious rate stance amid economic uncertainty and trade tensions. The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.5%, awaiting clearer data. Bond market volatility and questions about the dollar’s role weighed on sentiment. Silver remains under pressure from trade risks but gains support from being undervalued versus gold and a fifth year of global supply deficits. Markets now await US GDP and PCE data. Trump’s delay of the EU tariff and Brussels’ pledge to speed talks slightly increased risk sentiment.

The first critical support for gold is seen at 33.80 and the first resistance is located at 32.30.