Markets shifted into a risk-on mode as easing geopolitical tensions supported broader asset gains.
EUR/USD climbed toward 1.1670 as reduced safe-haven demand weakened the dollar, while the Japanese yen strengthened and sterling rebounded on improved sentiment. Precious metals also rallied strongly, with gold surging above $4,800 and silver reaching multi-week highs. The move was driven by a conditional ceasefire agreement, which eased immediate market fears and encouraged investors to rotate away from defensive positions. Overall, sentiment improved significantly, though markets remain sensitive to further geopolitical developments.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 15:30 | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | -1.000M | 5.451M |
| 18:00 | USD | 10-Year Note Auction | - | 4.217% |
| 19:00 | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes |
The EUR/USD pair rose to approximately 1.1670 on Wednesday. The euro gained ground as geopolitical tensions cooled following Donald Trump’s agreement to a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which diminished safe-haven demand for the dollar.
For EUR/USD, the initial resistance is seen at 1.1700, while the closest support is positioned at 1.1620.
| R1: 1.1700 | S1: 1.1620 |
| R2: 1.1750 | S2: 1.1570 |
| R3: 1.1800 | S3: 1.1400 |
Gold climbed over 2% on Wednesday, surpassing $4,800 per ounce. The surge continued after Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian infrastructure to provide a two-week window for negotiations, momentarily cooling immediate geopolitical tensions in the region.
First resistance is seen at $4850, with initial support near $4740.
| R1: 4850 | S1: 4740 |
| R2: 4920 | S2: 4690 |
| R3: 5000 | S3: 4550 |
The Japanese yen rallied past 158.5 per dollar on Wednesday, recovering from the 160 level seen earlier this week. Gains followed a two week ceasefire agreement between the US, Iran, and Israel, which improved risk sentiment and paved the way for negotiations.
Initial resistance stands at 159, while the first support is located at 157.90.
| R1: 159.00 | S1: 157.90 |
| R2: 159.80 | S2: 157.10 |
| R3: 161.00 | S3: 155.80 |
The British pound climbed from the low 1.32 area to the high 1.33 range, gaining strongly against the dollar. Easing geopolitical tensions sparked a shift toward risk-on positioning, weighing on the US dollar.
From a technical view, support stands near 1.3460, with resistance around 1.3350.
| R1: 1.3460 | S1: 1.3350 |
| R2: 1.3510 | S2: 1.3280 |
| R3: 1.3600 | S3: 1.3190 |
Silver jumped over 4% on Wednesday, climbing past $76 per ounce. The rally followed Donald Trump’s announcement of a conditional two-week ceasefire. This easing of geopolitical tension sparked a sharp recovery in the metal.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $77.25 while support is located around $75.
| R1: 77.25 | S1: 75.00 |
| R2: 79.50 | S2: 73.40 |
| R3: 82.00 | S3: 69.00 |
BOJ Takes Rates to a 31-Year HighThe Bank of Japan raised its key short-term interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% in September, pushing borrowing costs to their highest level since April 1995 and taking another step away from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy.
Detail Fed Hike Sets the Tone for Markets (09.18.2026)Monetary policy remained a key driver at the end of the week following the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike since July 2023.
Fed Hikes to 4%, and It May Not Be DoneThe Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023, delivering a unanimous 25 basis point increase to 3.75%–4.00% in September.
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