Markets shifted into a risk-on mode as easing geopolitical tensions supported broader asset gains.
EUR/USD climbed toward 1.1670 as reduced safe-haven demand weakened the dollar, while the Japanese yen strengthened and sterling rebounded on improved sentiment. Precious metals also rallied strongly, with gold surging above $4,800 and silver reaching multi-week highs. The move was driven by a conditional ceasefire agreement, which eased immediate market fears and encouraged investors to rotate away from defensive positions. Overall, sentiment improved significantly, though markets remain sensitive to further geopolitical developments.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 15:30 | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | -1.000M | 5.451M |
| 18:00 | USD | 10-Year Note Auction | - | 4.217% |
| 19:00 | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes |
The EUR/USD pair rose to approximately 1.1670 on Wednesday. The euro gained ground as geopolitical tensions cooled following Donald Trump’s agreement to a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which diminished safe-haven demand for the dollar.
For EUR/USD, the initial resistance is seen at 1.1700, while the closest support is positioned at 1.1620.
| R1: 1.1700 | S1: 1.1620 |
| R2: 1.1750 | S2: 1.1570 |
| R3: 1.1800 | S3: 1.1400 |
Gold climbed over 2% on Wednesday, surpassing $4,800 per ounce. The surge continued after Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian infrastructure to provide a two-week window for negotiations, momentarily cooling immediate geopolitical tensions in the region.
First resistance is seen at $4850, with initial support near $4740.
| R1: 4850 | S1: 4740 |
| R2: 4920 | S2: 4690 |
| R3: 5000 | S3: 4550 |
The Japanese yen rallied past 158.5 per dollar on Wednesday, recovering from the 160 level seen earlier this week. Gains followed a two week ceasefire agreement between the US, Iran, and Israel, which improved risk sentiment and paved the way for negotiations.
Initial resistance stands at 159, while the first support is located at 157.90.
| R1: 159.00 | S1: 157.90 |
| R2: 159.80 | S2: 157.10 |
| R3: 161.00 | S3: 155.80 |
The British pound climbed from the low 1.32 area to the high 1.33 range, gaining strongly against the dollar. Easing geopolitical tensions sparked a shift toward risk-on positioning, weighing on the US dollar.
From a technical view, support stands near 1.3460, with resistance around 1.3350.
| R1: 1.3460 | S1: 1.3350 |
| R2: 1.3510 | S2: 1.3280 |
| R3: 1.3600 | S3: 1.3190 |
Silver jumped over 4% on Wednesday, climbing past $76 per ounce. The rally followed Donald Trump’s announcement of a conditional two-week ceasefire. This easing of geopolitical tension sparked a sharp recovery in the metal.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $77.25 while support is located around $75.
| R1: 77.25 | S1: 75.00 |
| R2: 79.50 | S2: 73.40 |
| R3: 82.00 | S3: 69.00 |
Markets remain volatile as Trump orders a prolonged naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz to pressure Iran, further restricting global oil shipments.
Detail Growth Slows, Inflation Lingers (04.28.2026)The Bank of Japan held its policy rate at 0.75% in April, keeping borrowing costs at their highest level since 1995.
Detail
Oil Surge and Stalled Talks Fuel Tension (27 April – 1 May)Global markets moved into a risk-sensitive phase this week as stalled US–Iran negotiations and renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz reshaped sentiment. Safe-haven demand returned as reports of naval activity and continued blockades signaled that a quick resolution remains unlikely. With the key shipping route still largely restricted, energy prices surged, feeding directly into inflation concerns and shifting expectations across currencies, commodities, and bond markets.
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