Markets shifted into a risk-on mode as easing geopolitical tensions supported broader asset gains.
EUR/USD climbed toward 1.1670 as reduced safe-haven demand weakened the dollar, while the Japanese yen strengthened and sterling rebounded on improved sentiment. Precious metals also rallied strongly, with gold surging above $4,800 and silver reaching multi-week highs. The move was driven by a conditional ceasefire agreement, which eased immediate market fears and encouraged investors to rotate away from defensive positions. Overall, sentiment improved significantly, though markets remain sensitive to further geopolitical developments.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 15:30 | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | -1.000M | 5.451M |
| 18:00 | USD | 10-Year Note Auction | - | 4.217% |
| 19:00 | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes |
The EUR/USD pair rose to approximately 1.1670 on Wednesday. The euro gained ground as geopolitical tensions cooled following Donald Trump’s agreement to a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which diminished safe-haven demand for the dollar.
For EUR/USD, the initial resistance is seen at 1.1700, while the closest support is positioned at 1.1620.
| R1: 1.1700 | S1: 1.1620 |
| R2: 1.1750 | S2: 1.1570 |
| R3: 1.1800 | S3: 1.1400 |
Gold climbed over 2% on Wednesday, surpassing $4,800 per ounce. The surge continued after Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian infrastructure to provide a two-week window for negotiations, momentarily cooling immediate geopolitical tensions in the region.
First resistance is seen at $4850, with initial support near $4740.
| R1: 4850 | S1: 4740 |
| R2: 4920 | S2: 4690 |
| R3: 5000 | S3: 4550 |
The Japanese yen rallied past 158.5 per dollar on Wednesday, recovering from the 160 level seen earlier this week. Gains followed a two week ceasefire agreement between the US, Iran, and Israel, which improved risk sentiment and paved the way for negotiations.
Initial resistance stands at 159, while the first support is located at 157.90.
| R1: 159.00 | S1: 157.90 |
| R2: 159.80 | S2: 157.10 |
| R3: 161.00 | S3: 155.80 |
The British pound climbed from the low 1.32 area to the high 1.33 range, gaining strongly against the dollar. Easing geopolitical tensions sparked a shift toward risk-on positioning, weighing on the US dollar.
From a technical view, support stands near 1.3460, with resistance around 1.3350.
| R1: 1.3460 | S1: 1.3350 |
| R2: 1.3510 | S2: 1.3280 |
| R3: 1.3600 | S3: 1.3190 |
Silver jumped over 4% on Wednesday, climbing past $76 per ounce. The rally followed Donald Trump’s announcement of a conditional two-week ceasefire. This easing of geopolitical tension sparked a sharp recovery in the metal.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $77.25 while support is located around $75.
| R1: 77.25 | S1: 75.00 |
| R2: 79.50 | S2: 73.40 |
| R3: 82.00 | S3: 69.00 |
Pasar tetap bergejolak karena Trump memerintahkan blokade angkatan laut yang berkepanjangan di Selat Hormuz untuk menekan Iran, yang selanjutnya membatasi pengiriman minyak global.
Detail
Lonjakan Harga Minyak dan Perundingan yang Terhenti Memicu Ketegangan (27 April – 1 Mei)Pasar global memasuki fase sensitif risiko minggu ini karena negosiasi AS-Iran yang terhenti dan ketegangan yang kembali meningkat di Selat Hormuz membentuk kembali sentimen. Permintaan aset aman kembali meningkat seiring dengan laporan aktivitas angkatan laut dan blokade yang berkelanjutan yang menandakan bahwa resolusi cepat masih belum memungkinkan. Dengan jalur pelayaran utama yang masih sebagian besar dibatasi, harga energi melonjak, yang secara langsung memicu kekhawatiran inflasi dan menggeser ekspektasi di pasar mata uang, komoditas, dan obligasi.
Detail Awal Pekan yang Penuh Antisipasi Risiko (27.04.2026)Pasar dibuka pada awal pekan dengan catatan yang lebih positif karena tanda-tanda potensi penurunan ketegangan antara AS dan Iran menekan nilai dolar AS.
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