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Dollar Retreat Supports Metals (10.15.2026)

A softer US dollar and declining Treasury yields offered some relief to financial markets as Federal Reserve officials signaled a willingness to pause rate adjustments. 

The euro recovered toward 1.12, while gold advanced near $4,150 and silver stabilized above $56 as oil prices ended a five-day rally. However, stronger US inflation data kept expectations for further Fed tightening elevated, limiting gains in precious metals. Sterling slipped below 1.32 to its lowest level since June, while the yen strengthened past 158 following renewed warnings of possible Japanese currency intervention.

TimeCur.EventActualForecastPrevious
06:00GBPGDP (MoM) (Aug)0.1%0.6%0.4%
12:30USDRetail Sales (MoM) (Sep)-0.3%1.2%
12:30USDPPI (MoM) (Sep)-0.6%0.4%
12:30USDCore Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)-0.6%1.4%
12:30USDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct)-28.237.8
12:30USDInitial Jobless Claims-199K197K
16:00USDCrude Oil Inventories -0.200M-3.186M

Euro Bounces Toward $1.12

Rebounding from a 17-month trough, the Euro advanced toward $1.12 as the U.S. Dollar pulled back. Federal Reserve officials signaled a willingness to pause rate adjustments to gain policy clarity, leading investors to reduce bets on an October rate hike. This dovish shift effectively unwound the dollar's earlier gains following hotter U.S. inflation figures.

The first resistance is positioned at 1.1240 while the support starts from 1.1150.

R1: 1.1240S1: 1.1150
R2: 1.1280S2: 1.1100
R3: 1.1320S3: 1.1050

Gold Advances Toward $4,150

Gold pushed higher toward $4,150 per ounce on Thursday, recovering from Wednesday's dip as the pause in crude oil's five-day rally relieved broader market pressure. Lower U.S. Treasury yields and a weaker dollar offered further support. However, upside gains remained constrained by expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes following stronger U.S. inflation data.

First resistance is seen at $4190, with initial support near $4125.

R1: 4190S1: 4140
R2: 4250S2: 4100
R3: 4280S3: 4050

Yen Strengthens Past 158

The Japanese Yen rallied past 158 per dollar on Thursday, reaching its highest level in a week following warnings from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama. She indicated Tokyo's readiness to intervene again in currency markets if necessary, emphasizing that the U.S. and Japan remain fully aligned after their joint market intervention to support the yen in July.

First resistance is seen at 158.60, with initial support near 157.50.

R1: 158.60S1: 157.50
R2: 160.10S2: 155.40
R3: 162.50S3: 152.60

Pound Drops Below $1.32

The British Pound fell below $1.32, touching its lowest level since late June, as surprising U.S. inflation figures eroded expectations for an October Federal Reserve rate pause. U.S. headline inflation accelerated to 3.7% year-over-year in September, exceeding 3.6% market forecasts, while core inflation similarly printed above projections.

From a technical view, resistance stands near 1.3290, with support around 1.3150.

R1: 1.3290S1: 1.3150
R2: 1.3350S2: 1.3100
R3: 1.3400S3: 1.3020

Silver Holds Above $56

Silver stabilized above $56 per ounce on Thursday following a sharp sell-off in the previous session. Metal prices found support as crude oil ended its five-day rally, easing broader cross-asset strain alongside a softer U.S. dollar and declining Treasury yields. However, overall sentiment remained cautious as U.S. inflation data reinforced expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes.

From a technical view, resistance stands near $60.50, while support is located around $58.20.

R1: 60.50S1: 58.20
R2: 62.20S2: 57.40
R3: 64.50S3: 55.90
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