Markets tilted firmly toward the dollar as hawkish Federal Reserve expectations and rising energy prices fueled inflation concerns.
EUR/USD fell below 1.17 to a three-week low, while gold and silver remained under pressure near monthly lows as higher-for-longer rate expectations weighed on non-yielding assets. The Japanese yen weakened past the 160 level despite intervention risks, reflecting limited confidence in policy support. Meanwhile, sterling traded cautiously near $1.35 as investors awaited clearer signals from central banks and geopolitical developments. Overall, inflation fears and policy tightening continue to dominate market direction.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 01:30 | CNY | Manufacturing PMI (Apr) | 50.1 | 50.4 |
| 08:00 | EUR | German GDP (QoQ) (Q1) | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 09:00 | EUR | CPI (YoY) (Apr) | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| 11:00 | GBP | BoE Interest Rate Decision (Apr) | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| 12:15 | EUR | ECB Interest Rate Decision (Apr) | 2.15% | 2.15% |
| 12:30 | USD | GDP (QoQ) (Q1) | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| 12:30 | USD | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Mar) | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| 12:30 | USD | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Mar) | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 12:30 | USD | Initial Jobless Claims | 213K | 214K |
| 12:45 | EUR | ECB Press Conference | ||
| 13:45 | USD | Chicago PMI (Apr) | 54.8 | 52.8 |

EUR/USD dipped below 1.17, marking its weakest performance in three weeks. This decline follows a surge in the dollar driven by the Fed's hawkish stance. Rising oil prices have further intensified inflation fears, increasing demand for the dollar as a safe haven.
For EUR/USD, the initial resistance is seen at 1.1710, while the closest support is positioned at 1.1610.
| R1: 1.1710 | S1: 1.1610 |
| R2: 1.1750 | S2: 1.1550 |
| R3: 1.1790 | S3: 1.1500 |

Gold is trading near $4,550, holding close to a one-month low. Surging energy costs have heightened inflation fears, reinforcing expectations that central banks will maintain restrictive monetary policies. These persistent high-rate forecasts continue to limit any potential upside for the metal.
First resistance is seen at $4610, with initial support near $4490.
| R1: 4610 | S1: 4490 |
| R2: 4670 | S2: 4400 |
| R3: 4750 | S3: 4300 |

The Japanese yen dropped beyond 160 per dollar, hitting multi-month lows. Following the Bank of Japan’s decision to hold rates at 0.75%, investors are betting that upcoming hikes or near-term intervention will fail to provide the currency meaningful support.
Initial resistance stands at 160.50, while the first support is located at 159.80.
| R1: 160.50 | S1: 159.80 |
| R2: 160.90 | S2: 159.00 |
| R3: 161.40 | S3: 158.50 |

The pound softened to around $1.35 as markets analyzed updated UK economic outlooks. Investors remain cautious while awaiting critical policy signals from the Fed and Bank of England, coupled with shifting headlines surrounding the ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations.
From a technical view, resistance stands near 1.3530, with support around 1.3390.
| R1: 1.3530 | S1: 1.3390 |
| R2: 1.3600 | S2: 1.3250 |
| R3: 1.3650 | S3: 1.3170 |

Silver remained near $72 as rising oil prices fueled inflation concerns. These pressures have intensified expectations that central banks will implement further rate hikes, keeping the non-yielding metal near its recent lows.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $74.00 while support is located around $71.00.
| R1: 74.00 | S1: 71.00 |
| R2: 75.80 | S2: 69.20 |
| R3: 77.50 | S3: 67.40 |
Dolar AS naik ke level tertinggi dalam 18 bulan karena investor menunggu laporan inflasi utama dan mempertimbangkan ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga Federal Reserve pada bulan Desember.
Detail Meredanya Harga Minyak Menopang Pasar (10.12.2026)Pasar energi mendingin pada hari Senin seiring turunnya harga minyak mentah Brent mendekati level $103 per barel, yang mengakhiri tren kenaikan selama dua sesi sebelumnya. Penurunan harga minyak dan melandainya imbal hasil (yield) obligasi Treasury memberikan dukungan bagi mata uang utama dan logam mulia, sementara para investor menantikan rilis data inflasi AS mendatang.
Detail
Dolar Tetap Tangguh Menjelang Data Inflasi AS (12 – 16 Oktober)Nilai tukar dolar tetap kokoh menjelang awal pekan ini seiring penantian investor terhadap data inflasi penting AS yang akan menjadi acuan bagi kebijakan Federal Reserve. Indeks Dolar bertahan di atas level 102 setelah mencatatkan kenaikan mingguan selama empat pekan berturut-turut, sementara euro dan yen masih berada di bawah tekanan akibat besarnya selisih suku bunga dan kekhawatiran fiskal yang terus berlanjut. Laporan inflasi konsumen dan produsen bulan September akan dicermati dengan saksama saat pasar menilai apakah The Fed memiliki ruang untuk menghentikan sementara siklus pengetatan kebijakannya.
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