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Euro Hits Two-Month High as Metals Fall (08.19.2026)

Global markets remained focused on diverging central bank expectations, rising bond yields, and renewed Middle East tensions. 

The euro reached a two-month high as markets reduced Federal Reserve tightening expectations while maintaining bets on a September ECB hike. Gold and silver retreated as surging Treasury yields increased pressure on precious metals, while the yen remained weak near 159.5 despite growing expectations for a Bank of Japan rate increase. Sterling also eased as softer UK labor data supported expectations for a BoE pause.

Time Cur. Event Forecast      Previous
06:00GBPCPI (YoY) (Jul)2.9%2.6%
09:00EURCPI (YoY) (Jul)2.9%2.8%
14:30USDCrude Oil Inventories-17.423M
18:00USDFOMC Meeting Minutes--

Euro Reaches Two-Month High

The euro advanced to approximately $1.1585, marking its highest level in two months due to diverging rate expectations between central banks. Financial markets have scaled back Federal Reserve rate-hike predictions while pricing an 84% likelihood of a quarter-point European Central Bank increase in September. Accelerated Eurozone inflation at 2.9% in July, fueled by Middle East energy disruptions, continues keeping the currency pair within a steady consolidation range.

The first resistance is positioned at 1.1600 while the support starts from 1.1530.

R1: 1.1600S1: 1.1530
R2: 1.1640S2: 1.1480
R3: 1.1710S3: 1.1420

Gold Holds Near $4,350

Gold traded near $4,350 per ounce on Wednesday following a 2% decline, burdened by surging global bond yields as the 30-year Treasury yield reached a 19-year peak. Firming oil prices added headwinds after US-Iran talks stalled and Persian Gulf shipping disruptions intensified. Investors now look to upcoming FOMC meeting minutes and central bank commentary at Jackson Hole for clearer monetary policy direction.

First resistance is seen at $4390, with initial support near $4320.

R1: 4390S1: 4320
R2: 4450S2: 4280
R3: 4500S3: 4225

Yen Still Remains Near 159.5

The Japanese yen hovered around 159.5 per dollar on Wednesday, consolidating over the past week after surrendering recent intervention gains. Persistent yield gaps, government spending worries, and high import costs continue weighing on the currency. However, stronger June machinery orders jumping 9.7% and 10-year JGB yields touching 30-year highs have reinforced market expectations for a Bank of Japan interest rate increase in September.

First resistance is seen at 160.00, with initial support near 158.60.

R1: 160.00S1: 158.60
R2: 162.10S2: 157.30
R3: 162.50S3: 155.80

Sterling Softens to 1.353

The British pound pulled back to roughly $1.353, easing from three-month highs as softening labor data pressured sterling. Unemployment held at 4.9%, while moderating wage growth supported expectations for a Bank of England rate pause. Meanwhile, geopolitical friction supported crude prices and revived safe-haven dollar demand ahead of key UK inflation figures.

From a technical view, resistance stands near 1.3570, with support around 1.3510.

R1: 1.3570S1: 1.3510
R2: 1.3600S2: 1.3460
R3: 1.3640S3: 1.3420

Silver Drops Below $63

Silver fell below $63 per ounce on Wednesday, continuing its recent retreat under pressure from climbing global bond yields and a 19-year high on the 30-year Treasury yield. Rising crude oil prices and heightened Middle East geopolitical friction increased headwinds, while market participants turned their focus toward upcoming FOMC minutes and central bank commentary at Jackson Hole.

From a technical view, resistance stands near $65.20, while support is located around $61.80.

R1: 65.20S1: 61.80
R2: 67.50S2: 60.50
R3: 69.25S3: 58.00
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