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Gold and Silver Pull Back After Records (01.30.2026)

A modest recovery in the U.S. dollar weighed on major currencies and precious metals into the end of the week. 

EUR/USD slipped toward 1.1900 as technical signals turned softer, while the yen eased but stayed on track for its first monthly gain since August. Gold and silver pulled back from record highs on profit-taking, though both are set to post historic monthly gains. Sterling also edged lower as U.S. shutdown risks faded and markets looked ahead to next week’s Bank of England meeting.

Time Cur. Event Forecast      Previous
13:30EURGerman GDP (QoQ) (Q4)0.2%0.0%
16:00EURGerman CPI (MoM) (Jan)0.0%0.0%
16:30USDPPI (MoM) (Dec)0.2%0.2%
17:45USDChicago PMI (Jan)43.543.5

Euro Dips Toward 1.1900

EUR/USD broke below its 100-hour moving average on Friday as a modest dollar recovery pressured the pair. Technical signals currently favor sellers, with further declines expected if prices clear the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Traders are now watching for a decisive move under 1.1900 to confirm an extended bearish shift.

Momentum remains constructive, with 1.1950 in focus on the upside, while 1.1810 defines nearby support.

R1: 1.1950S1: 1.1810
R2: 1.2000S2: 1.1760
R3: 1.2050S3: 1.1680

Yen Eyes First Monthly Gain Since August

The Japanese yen eased toward 154 per dollar on Friday but remains on track for its first monthly increase since August. Despite the lack of official intervention, the currency has risen nearly 2% this month, rebounding 4.6% from its January lows. Speculation intensified after reports that the New York Fed conducted rate checks, though U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismissed these rumors. Bessent reaffirmed Washington's commitment to a "strong dollar" policy, tempering the yen’s recent four month peak.

Technically, resistance stands near 153.90, while support is firm at 153.20.

R1: 153.90S1: 153.20
R2: 155.10S2: 152.50
R3: 155.80S3: 151.80

Gold Pulls Back Toward $5,200 on Profit-Taking

Gold slipped to around $5,200 per ounce on Friday as investors secured profits following a record breaking run. Despite this retreat, bullion is finishing January with a gain exceeding 20%, its most impressive monthly showing since the 1980s. The broader surge continues to be fueled by a weaker dollar and rising geopolitical friction. Most recently, President Trump signed an executive order targeting countries that supply oil to Cuba, a move that increases economic pressure on Mexico and further stokes global trade uncertainty.

Technically, resistance stands near 5300, while support is firm at 5150.

R1: 5300S1: 5150
R2: 5340S2: 5110
R3: 5440S3: 5050

GBP/USD Eases as US Shutdown Risks Fade

GBP/USD dipped toward 1.3750 on Friday as the U.S. Senate progressed a spending deal to avert a government shutdown. This potential resolution provided a modest lift to the dollar, weighing on the pound during early European trading. Investors are also preparing for next week’s Bank of England meeting, where policymakers will likely hold the base rate at 3.75%. While a hold is anticipated, a divided vote could signal whether another cut is possible by March.

From a technical view, support stands near 1.3770, with resistance around 1.3710.

R1: 1.3770S1: 1.3710
R2: 1.3800S2: 1.3680
R3: 1.3850S3: 1.3610

Silver Drops Toward $110

Silver dropped about 4% toward $110 per ounce on Friday as investors secured profits following its recent historic climb. A slight recovery in the dollar added further pressure on the metal. Despite today's drop, silver remains up more than 50% for January, marking its best monthly gain ever and extending its winning streak to nine months.

From a technical view, resistance stands near $115.50, while support is located around $108.20.

R1: 115.50S1: 108.20
R2: 116.00S2: 105.30
R3: 117.15S3: 103.40
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