Markets traded in a tight range as geopolitical tensions and strong U.S. labor data continued to support the dollar.
EUR/USD held near 1.1520, with limited upside as expectations for Fed rate cuts weakened. The Japanese yen remained close to the 160 level under pressure from rising energy costs, while sterling stayed near multi-month lows amid weak risk sentiment. In commodities, gold and silver stabilized after recent declines, with prices pausing as investors assessed escalating Middle East risks and potential policy responses. Overall, markets remained cautious, with the dollar maintaining its strength.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 15:30 | USD | Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb) | -1.0% | 0.0% |
The Euro stabilized near $1.152 during quiet trading as the Iran conflict and high oil prices weighed on sentiment. Strong US labor data further dampened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, keeping the currency range-bound against a resilient Dollar.
For EUR/USD, the initial resistance is seen at 1.1590, while the closest support is positioned at 1.1500.
| R1: 1.1590 | S1: 1.1500 |
| R2: 1.1640 | S2: 1.1440 |
| R3: 1.1700 | S3: 1.1400 |
Gold stabilized near $4,650 as markets weighed escalating geopolitical threats. Prices paused their decline after President Trump warned of strikes on Iranian infrastructure unless his demands, including the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, are met.
First resistance is seen at $4720, with initial support near $4580.
| R1: 4720 | S1: 4580 |
| R2: 4860 | S2: 4500 |
| R3: 4970 | S3: 4420 |
The Yen hovered near 160 per dollar, its weakest level since 2024. A dominant Dollar, surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, and the looming pressure of President Trump’s deadline continue to weigh heavily on the Japanese currency.
Technically, resistance stands near 159.90, while support is firm at 158.50.
| R1: 159.90 | S1: 158.50 |
| R2: 160.40 | S2: 157.60 |
| R3: 161.00 | S3: 157.20 |
The Pound held around $1.32 as geopolitical conflict and surging energy costs dampened risk appetite. Strong US labor data supported the Dollar, further reducing expectations for Federal Reserve easing and keeping Sterling pinned near its recent lows.
From a technical view, support stands near 1.3320, with resistance around 1.3170.
| R1: 1.3320 | S1: 1.3170 |
| R2: 1.3430 | S2: 1.3110 |
| R3: 1.3480 | S3: 1.3000 |
Silver stabilized at $72.50 as markets weighed escalating geopolitical risks. Prices paused following President Trump’s ultimatum to Iran: meet specific demands, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday night, or face strikes on power plants and bridges.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $74.10 while support is located around $71.50.
| R1: 74.10 | S1: 71.50 |
| R2: 78.50 | S2: 70.00 |
| R3: 80.00 | S3: 68.00 |
Markets remain volatile as Trump orders a prolonged naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz to pressure Iran, further restricting global oil shipments.
Detail Growth Slows, Inflation Lingers (04.28.2026)The Bank of Japan held its policy rate at 0.75% in April, keeping borrowing costs at their highest level since 1995.
Detail
Oil Surge and Stalled Talks Fuel Tension (27 April – 1 May)Global markets moved into a risk-sensitive phase this week as stalled US–Iran negotiations and renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz reshaped sentiment. Safe-haven demand returned as reports of naval activity and continued blockades signaled that a quick resolution remains unlikely. With the key shipping route still largely restricted, energy prices surged, feeding directly into inflation concerns and shifting expectations across currencies, commodities, and bond markets.
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