The euro held near $1.16 on Tuesday, showing limited movement as markets awaited major data releases. Optimism over progress in U.S.–China trade talks supported sentiment ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, while the ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged.
The yen strengthened to 152 amid trade and defense discussions, gold and silver stayed under pressure as risk appetite improved, and the pound rebounded ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. Investors now focus on Eurozone GDP, inflation, and the Fed’s policy outlook.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 05:00 | JPY | BoJ Core CPI (YoY) | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| 14:00 | USD | CB Consumer Confidence (Oct) | 93.9 | 94.2 |
| 14:00 | USD | New Home Sales (Sep) | 710K | 800K |
| 17:00 | USD | 7-Year Note Auction | 3.953% |

The euro hovered around $1.16 with limited movement. Optimism over progress in US–China trade talks supported sentiment ahead of Thursday’s Trump–Xi meeting. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the Fed may opt for a cut following soft employment and inflation data. Investors also await upcoming Eurozone GDP and inflation reports later this week.
From a technical view, the euro faces resistance near 1.1680, with strong support around 1.1600.
| R1: 1.1680 | S1: 1.1600 |
| R2: 1.1745 | S2: 1.1540 |
| R3: 1.1820 | S3: 1.1480 |

The yen firmed to 152 per dollar after recovering from recent lows. Investors now look to the upcoming Takaichi–Trump meeting centered on trade and defense. Officials noted that a softer yen benefits exports. The Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates steady but could discuss potential hikes as trade risks subside.
Technically, resistance stands near 152.80, while support is firm at 151.50.
| R1: 152.80 | S1: 151.50 |
| R2: 154.50 | S2: 150.80 |
| R3: 155.20 | S3: 148.90 |

Gold inched up to around $3,990 per ounce on Tuesday but remained near a two-week low, as optimism over US–China trade progress weighed on safe-haven demand. Over the weekend, officials from both countries said they had reached a framework agreement on tariffs and other key issues during talks in Malaysia, paving the way for Presidents Trump and Xi to finalize the deal later this week in South Korea.
From a technical view, key support lies near $3940, while resistance is seen around $4,050.
| R1: 4050 | S1: 3940 |
| R2: 4140 | S2: 3880 |
| R3: 4210 | S3: 3820 |

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver another 25 bps rate cut on Wednesday. After months of caution, the Fed initiated a new easing cycle at its previous meeting, and markets now anticipate a second consecutive reduction. Investors will closely watch for signals of a possible third cut in December. Meanwhile, GBP/USD turned bullish for the first time in over a week, though the momentum may prove short-lived.
From a technical view, support stands near 1.3250, with resistance around 1.3410.
| R1: 1.3410 | S1: 1.3250 |
| R2: 1.3530 | S2: 1.3160 |
| R3: 1.3620 | S3: 1.3080 |

Silver hovered near $46.80 in Tuesday’s Asian session, extending its third day of losses after falling 3.78% as investors moved to risk assets amid optimism over U.S.–China trade talks. Officials from both countries announced in Malaysia that a framework deal on tariffs had been reached, paving the way for Trump and Xi to finalize it in South Korea this week.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $47.90, while support is located around $45.60.
| R1: 47.90 | S1: 45.60 |
| R2: 49.50 | S2: 44.20 |
| R3: 51.20 | S3: 43.50 |
Volatility Returns with a Twist (4 – 8 May)Global markets moved through a volatile and uneven week as currency intervention, shifting energy dynamics, and cautious central bank signals reshaped sentiment. The US dollar came under sustained pressure, briefly falling below 98 to its lowest level since late February, largely driven by a sharp rally in the Japanese yen following suspected intervention. At the same time, geopolitical developments around the Strait of Hormuz and renewed US–Iran diplomatic efforts continued to influence energy markets, keeping inflation expectations in focus.
Detail A Cautious Start to May (05.04.2026)Global financial markets opened May with currently being driven by a complex interplay of geopolitical tensions, monetary policy expectations, and evolving investor sentiment.
Global markets remained volatile as geopolitical tensions and mixed economic signals shaped investor sentiment.
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