The EUR/USD pair hovered above 1.1300 with reduced political uncertainty in Europe. The Japanese yen firmed to 143.6 per dollar as global trade tensions renewed precious metals interest and BoJ minutes signaled cautious openness to further hikes.
Gold slipped to $3,360 as the Fed held rates and dismissed preemptive cuts, though trade risks limited losses. GBP/USD remained steady near 1.33 ahead of a likely BoE rate cut, with optimism around a new UK-India trade deal offering support.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 11:00 | GBP | BoE Interest Rate Decision (May) | 46.0 | 46.4 |
| 12:30 | USD | Initial Jobless Claims | 231K | 241K |
| 15:30 | USD | 30-Year Bond Auction | - | 4.813% |
EUR/USD traded just above 1.1300 on Thursday, staying in a tight range as reduced political uncertainty in Europe and a softer U.S. dollar offered mixed cues. The euro was supported by news of Friedrich Merz becoming Germany’s chancellor, while the dollar struggled despite a hawkish Fed pause, as Powell flagged tariff-related risks. Traders are focused on Trump’s press conference at 14:00 GMT and U.S. jobless claims for near-term direction.
Resistance is seen at 1.1460, with higher levels at 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
| R1: 1.1460 | S1: 1.1260 |
| R2: 1.1580 | S2: 1.1200 |
| R3: 1.1680 | S3: 1.1150 |
The Japanese yen strengthened to around 143.6 per dollar on Thursday, recovering as rising global trade uncertainty stimulated demand for gold. The move followed President Trump’s announcement of a deal with a “big” country, reportedly the UK, and his refusal to cut tariffs on China ahead of U.S.-China talks in Switzerland. U.S.-Japan negotiations continue, with Tokyo aiming to finalize a bilateral deal by June. Meanwhile, BoJ minutes showed policymakers remain open to rate hikes if inflation targets are met, though they flagged external risks from U.S. trade policy.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
| R1: 145.90 | S1: 139.70 |
| R2: 146.75 | S2: 137.00 |
| R3: 149.80 | S3: 135.00 |
Gold slipped to around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, pressured by the Fed’s cautious tone after keeping rates unchanged. Chair Powell dismissed preemptive cuts and highlighted inflation and labor market risks, dampening demand for non-yielding assets. However, gold's downside was limited by trade uncertainties as Trump reaffirmed tariffs before U.S.-China talks in Switzerland.
Resistance is expected at $3,460, followed by $3,500 and $3,550. Support sits at $3,320, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,265.
| R1: 3460 | S1: 3320 |
| R2: 3500 | S2: 3300 |
| R3: 3550 | S3: 3265 |
The British pound hovered near $1.33 as traders awaited the BoE’s decision, with a 25 bps cut to 4.25% widely expected. Markets are also eyeing new economic forecasts for signals of further easing. While Trump’s tariff plans have stoked global slowdown fears, the UK is less exposed due to a U.S. goods surplus. A fresh trade deal with India, expected to generate £4.8 billion annually by 2040, may also cushion the economy.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels come in at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
| R1: 1.3430 | S1: 1.3200 |
| R2: 1.3500 | S2: 1.3050 |
| R3: 1.3550 | S3: 1.2960 |
Silver rose more than 1% to approach the $33 mark on Thursday, supported by renewed interest on precious metals with ongoing trade and economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, with Chair Powell citing heightened risks while dismissing the need for early rate cuts. Sentiment was also influenced by President Trump’s announcement of an imminent trade deal, reportedly with the UK, and his firm stance on maintaining tariffs against China ahead of upcoming negotiations.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.
| R1: 33.80 | S1: 32.00 |
| R2: 34.20 | S2: 31.40 |
| R3: 34.85 | S3: 30.20 |
Risk sentiment shifted this week as Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating, weakening the dollar and supporting major currencies and commodities.
Detail Dollar Strengthens on Trade Deal Pause (05.19.2025)The U.S. dollar gained traction Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to pause retaliatory tariffs for 90 days, prompting a gap lower in EUR/USD to 1.1064. Meanwhile, Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating, citing fiscal concerns, sparking risk aversion and supporting safe-haven assets like gold and the yen.
Detail
Dollar Gains and Gold Slips Amid Risk Appetite (19 - 23 May)The U.S. dollar held near 100.8, heading for a 0.6% weekly gain as weak data increased Fed cut bets. The euro rebounded to $1.12 on firm inflation and ECB cut hopes. The pound hovered near $1.32 as UK jobs data raised BoE cut odds. The yen rose toward 145 despite Japan’s 0.2% GDP drop, with the BoJ staying cautious.
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