The Chicago Business Barometer, commonly known as the Chicago PMI, declined to 36.9 in December 2024, down from 40.2 in November and significantly below the market expectation of 42.5.
The Chicago Business Barometer, commonly known as the Chicago PMI, declined to 36.9 in December 2024, down from 40.2 in November and significantly below the market expectation of 42.5. This marks the 13th consecutive month of contraction in Chicago's economic activity and represents the sharpest monthly decline since May.
New orders experienced a steep drop, falling by 13.5 points to the second-lowest level since May 2020. Over half of the survey respondents reported a decrease in new orders, a scenario last observed in June 2020, which highlighted a significant weakness in demand.
The ongoing contraction in the Chicago PMI underscores persistent challenges in the regional economy, with declining new orders and subdued business sentiment pointing to continued headwinds as the year concludes.
Bond Market Pushback Takes Center StageMarkets are almost fully pricing in another Federal Reserve rate cut this week, yet the US bond market continues to move in the opposite direction.
Detail
Central Bank Expectations Reset the Tone (8-12 December)Traders adjusted positioning before the Federal Reserve’s December decision and evaluated fresh signals from the ECB, BoE and BOJ.
Detail Futures Stall, 10-Year Yield Pushes Above 4.1% (12.08.2025)US stock futures were flat on Monday ahead of the Fed’s meeting, with markets pricing an 88% chance of a 25 bp cut on Wednesday.
DetailThen Join Our Telegram Channel and Subscribe Our Trading Signals Newsletter for Free!
Join Us On Telegram!
