Germany's inflation rate, as measured by the year-on-year change in the consumer price index (CPI), rose to 2.2% in November.
This marks an increase from October, when the rate stood at 2.0%, after remaining below 2% for two months (1.6% in September and 1.9% in August 2024). The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reports that a notable increase in service costs was the main cause of inflation in November. On the other hand, energy prices still reduced inflation, although not as much as they had in prior months. When comparing prices to October, consumer prices fell by 0.2% in November.

Source: Destatis
Hot US Inflation Lifts Hike Bets as Oil Surges (14 – 18 September)The week began with markets focused on Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision after hotter US inflation data strengthened expectations for another rate hike. August CPI remained at 3.4% year-on-year, but the monthly increase accelerated to 0.4%, its strongest in three months, while producer prices also picked up. Markets now assign roughly an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point Fed hike, supporting the dollar and pushing Treasury yields higher.
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Inflation and interest rate expectations took center stage as surging energy costs and stronger U.S. producer prices reshaped the policy outlook. The dollar index held above 99 as surprisingly hotter U.S. producer inflation pushed Fed rate hike odds to 71%.
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