Business sentiment among Japan’s largest manufacturers improved in August 2026, supported mainly by continued strength in semiconductor-related industries. The Reuters Tankan manufacturing index climbed to +18 from +13 in July, reaching its highest level since March.
Technology-related industries led the improvement, reflecting continued demand for electronics and semiconductor investment.
The figures suggest that semiconductor demand continues to provide an important source of support for Japan’s manufacturing sector, even as conditions remain uneven across industries.
Confidence outside manufacturing also strengthened during the month. The non-manufacturing index increased to +28 from +25, supported by resilient domestic consumption and relatively firm activity across service industries.
Despite the stronger August readings, manufacturers remain somewhat cautious about the months ahead. The manufacturing sentiment index is expected to ease to +16 by November, indicating that businesses are not yet convinced the recent improvement will be sustained.
Overall, the August survey points to firmer business conditions across much of the Japanese economy, with semiconductor-related demand and services providing the strongest support.
Inflation and interest rate expectations took center stage as surging energy costs and stronger U.S. producer prices reshaped the policy outlook. The dollar index held above 99 as surprisingly hotter U.S. producer inflation pushed Fed rate hike odds to 71%.
Detail
US Producer Inflation AcceleratesUS producer prices rose 0.4% month-on-month in August, following a revised 0.1% increase in July. The reading matched market expectations and marked the strongest monthly increase in three years.
Detail Euro Gains Ahead of ECB Decision (09.10.2026)Monetary policy expectations remained the main driver on Thursday, with the euro advancing toward 1.1640 ahead of a widely anticipated ECB rate hike.
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