U.S. private sector employment rose by just 37,000 in May 2025, the weakest monthly gain since March 2023, according to the latest ADP National Employment Report released in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
The report, which analyzes anonymized payroll data from more than 25 million U.S. workers, offers a real-time snapshot of labor market conditions.
“After a strong start to the year, hiring is losing momentum,” said Dr. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP. “Nevertheless, pay growth remains steady across the board for both job-stayers and job-changers.”
By Industry (Job-Stayers):
By Firm Size (Job-Stayers):
Source: ADP National Employment Report – May 2025.
Global markets remain dominated by geopolitical risk as escalating conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran fuels a strong shift toward safe-haven assets. The dollar index hit 99.3 Wednesday, rising for a third day as conflict concerns fueled inflation and shifted Fed rate cut expectations from July to September.
A US court rejected Trump's tariff refund delay as the Dollar (98.5) and 10 year yield (4.04%) held gains amid Middle East escalation and inflation fears.
After Khamenei: Who Will Lead Iran Next?Following the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Iran has entered a pivotal transition phase. Senior officials in Tehran are acting swiftly to uphold the existing structure of the Islamic Republic, prioritizing continuity to head off potential internal instability. Despite these efforts, the sudden leadership vacuum has sparked intense political and military maneuvering behind the scenes.
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