U.S. private sector employment rose by just 37,000 in May 2025, the weakest monthly gain since March 2023, according to the latest ADP National Employment Report released in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
The report, which analyzes anonymized payroll data from more than 25 million U.S. workers, offers a real-time snapshot of labor market conditions.
“After a strong start to the year, hiring is losing momentum,” said Dr. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP. “Nevertheless, pay growth remains steady across the board for both job-stayers and job-changers.”
By Industry (Job-Stayers):
By Firm Size (Job-Stayers):
Source: ADP National Employment Report – May 2025.
Markets shifted toward risk-on sentiment as easing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around Federal Reserve policy pressured the U.S. dollar. EUR/USD climbed toward 1.18, reaching multi-month highs, while sterling also advanced to a seven-week peak.
US-Iran Talks End Without BreakthroughDiplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran ended without an agreement after more than 21 hours of discussions in Pakistan, marking another setback in efforts to ease pressure surrounding Iran’s nuclear program and regional role.
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Oil Shock and Inflation Reprice Global Markets (13 – 17 April)Global sentiment shifted this week as markets balanced high-stakes diplomacy in Islamabad with a severe energy supply squeeze. While talks between US and Iranian officials provided a fragile glimmer of hope, the US-led blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered by a breakdown in weekend negotiations, sent Brent crude surging 8% to approximately $103/barrel.
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