The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in November 2025, a stronger recovery following October’s 0.1% dip. This performance outpaced market forecasts of a minor 0.1% uptick, signaling that the economy regained its footing as the year drew to a close.
The dominant services sector provided the primary engine for growth, rising 0.3% to erase the previous month’s losses. Professional, scientific, and technical activities stood out with a sharp 1.7% jump, reflecting strong demand for high-end business consultancy and technical services. Additionally, the information and communication sector climbed 1.5%, supported by a flurry of activity in computer programming. Consumer-facing industries also saw a lift, with wholesale and retail trade growing by 0.6%.
Industrial output increased by 1.1%, with the manufacturing subsector jumping 2.1%. A massive 25.5% surge in motor vehicle production drove this result, as the automotive industry finally moved past the operational disruptions caused by a major cyber incident in August. The transport equipment category as a whole grew by 10.7%, marking a significant return to form for British factories.
Despite the broader recovery, the construction sector continued to struggle, contracting by 1.3%. This marks the second consecutive monthly decline for the industry, as high financing costs and cautious investment sentiment continue to dampen building activity.
While the November rebound provides a welcome lift to quarterly figures, analysts remain watchful. Persistent inflationary pressures and shifting fiscal policies mean the Bank of England will likely maintain a careful approach to interest rate adjustments heading into the spring.
Markets ended the week focused on central bank policy and geopolitical developments as the ECB delivered its expected rate hike while investors assessed the outlook for further tightening.
Markets remained cautious on Thursday as investors balanced rising geopolitical risks with key central bank expectations. The dollar index neared a two-month high at 100 as Middle East conflict risks and inflation acceleration kept December Fed hike bets alive.
Markets turned their attention to the European Central Bank on Wednesday as the euro recovered modestly from recent lows.
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