Inflation in the UK picked up pace in June 2025, largely due to a rebound in fuel prices.
The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) rose by 4.1% year-on-year, a slight increase from 4.0% in May. On a monthly basis, CPIH rose 0.3%, compared to 0.2% in the same month last year.
The standard Consumer Prices Index (CPI) showed a similar trend, climbing to 3.6% annually, up from 3.4% in May. Monthly CPI growth also reached 0.3%, higher than the 0.1% gain recorded in June 2024.
The main driver behind the rise in both CPIH and CPI was the transport sector, with motor fuel prices playing a key role in pushing inflation higher. On the other hand, housing and household services, particularly owner occupiers’ housing costs, helped to slightly offset the overall upward pressure on CPIH.
Core inflation also edged higher, showing persistent price pressures:
Core CPIH (excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco) rose to 4.3%, up from 4.2% in May.
Core CPI increased to 3.7%, compared to 3.5% the previous month.

With fuel prices adding fresh momentum and goods inflation gaining traction, the data signals that price pressures remain broad-based. While housing costs provided some relief, the overall inflation outlook continues to demand close attention.
Source: Office for National Statistics
The dollar index slipped below 97 as markets awaited delayed January jobs data, with weak retail sales and reports of China urging banks to cut US Treasury exposure adding pressure on the currency.
The dollar index stayed under pressure on Tuesday as fears of softer foreign demand for US assets, reports of Chinese banks cutting Treasury holdings, expectations of delayed US jobs and inflation data, and a firmer yen on intervention talk weighed on the greenback.
Precious Metals Rebound (09-13 February)Global markets began the week with the US dollar under pressure, falling under 97.5 for a second consecutive session. The greenback’s decline was fueled by a combination of improved risk sentiment and expectations of stable Federal Reserve policy with potential rate cuts on the horizon. Investors remained cautious as they awaited a backlog of delayed US economic data, including employment and inflation figures.
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