Inflation in the UK picked up pace in June 2025, largely due to a rebound in fuel prices.
The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) rose by 4.1% year-on-year, a slight increase from 4.0% in May. On a monthly basis, CPIH rose 0.3%, compared to 0.2% in the same month last year.
The standard Consumer Prices Index (CPI) showed a similar trend, climbing to 3.6% annually, up from 3.4% in May. Monthly CPI growth also reached 0.3%, higher than the 0.1% gain recorded in June 2024.
The main driver behind the rise in both CPIH and CPI was the transport sector, with motor fuel prices playing a key role in pushing inflation higher. On the other hand, housing and household services, particularly owner occupiers’ housing costs, helped to slightly offset the overall upward pressure on CPIH.
Core inflation also edged higher, showing persistent price pressures:
Core CPIH (excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco) rose to 4.3%, up from 4.2% in May.
Core CPI increased to 3.7%, compared to 3.5% the previous month.
With fuel prices adding fresh momentum and goods inflation gaining traction, the data signals that price pressures remain broad-based. While housing costs provided some relief, the overall inflation outlook continues to demand close attention.
Source: Office for National Statistics
The euro rose to 1.1660 on optimism over potential Ukraine-Russia peace talks, while the yen held steady as the Bank of Japan signaled room for further hikes. Gold slipped on easing geopolitical tensions, though trade concerns and Fed cut expectations capped losses.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose for a fourth consecutive session to 4.27% on Friday, rebounding from a three-month low. The move followed weak U.S. data, newly announced gold tariffs, and President Trump’s nomination of Stephen Miran to the Fed, which fueled concerns about a politicized central bank. Waning demand at recent bond auctions and rising expectations for rate cuts also influenced markets. Investors now look ahead to next week’s CPI release for policy signals.
Detail Markets Eye Fed Cuts as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Persist (08.08.2025)The euro held steady near 1.1660 on Friday, supported by hopes of a Russia-Ukraine peace summit and weaker U.S. economic data that fueled Fed rate cut expectations.
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