US manufacturing contracted further in September as output and new orders dropped amid weak demand and political uncertainty.
The US manufacturing sector continued to slide deeper into contraction at the end of Q3, with sharper declines in output and new orders in September, driven by weak demand and political uncertainty. Employment experienced its steepest drop since early 2010, excluding the pandemic period. However, business confidence increased slightly, driven by optimism for post-presidential election improvements.
While input cost inflation eased somewhat, it remained notable, and firms increased their selling prices at the fastest pace since April. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.3 in September from 47.9 in August, marking the third straight month of deteriorating conditions and the worst since June 2023.

Source: S&P Global PMI. ©2024 S&P Global.
Bond Market Pushback Takes Center StageMarkets are almost fully pricing in another Federal Reserve rate cut this week, yet the US bond market continues to move in the opposite direction.
Detail
Central Bank Expectations Reset the Tone (8-12 December)Traders adjusted positioning before the Federal Reserve’s December decision and evaluated fresh signals from the ECB, BoE and BOJ.
Detail Futures Stall, 10-Year Yield Pushes Above 4.1% (12.08.2025)US stock futures were flat on Monday ahead of the Fed’s meeting, with markets pricing an 88% chance of a 25 bp cut on Wednesday.
DetailThen Join Our Telegram Channel and Subscribe Our Trading Signals Newsletter for Free!
Join Us On Telegram!