US manufacturing contracted further in September as output and new orders dropped amid weak demand and political uncertainty.
The US manufacturing sector continued to slide deeper into contraction at the end of Q3, with sharper declines in output and new orders in September, driven by weak demand and political uncertainty. Employment experienced its steepest drop since early 2010, excluding the pandemic period. However, business confidence increased slightly, driven by optimism for post-presidential election improvements.
While input cost inflation eased somewhat, it remained notable, and firms increased their selling prices at the fastest pace since April. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.3 in September from 47.9 in August, marking the third straight month of deteriorating conditions and the worst since June 2023.
Source: S&P Global PMI. ©2024 S&P Global.
Global markets remained focused on shifting Middle East developments and monetary policy expectations, with reports of progress toward a Strait of Hormuz shipping agreement influencing sentiment.
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Weak Jobs Data Hits Dollar as Hormuz Risks Persist (10 – 14 August)Global markets entered the week as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's outlook after a surprisingly weak US employment report signaled further deterioration in labor market conditions. The Dollar Index fell toward a two-month low, while gold and silver held onto strong weekly gains as expectations for a September Fed rate hike dropped sharply. At the same time, uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continued to influence oil prices and global inflation expectations, with Iran and Oman reporting progress toward a transit agreement but no broader resolution yet reached.
Detail Weak Jobs Data Supports Metals and Currencies (08.10.2026)Global markets opened the week with the dollar under pressure after unexpectedly weak U.S. employment data reduced expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike.
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