US manufacturing contracted further in September as output and new orders dropped amid weak demand and political uncertainty.
The US manufacturing sector continued to slide deeper into contraction at the end of Q3, with sharper declines in output and new orders in September, driven by weak demand and political uncertainty. Employment experienced its steepest drop since early 2010, excluding the pandemic period. However, business confidence increased slightly, driven by optimism for post-presidential election improvements.
While input cost inflation eased somewhat, it remained notable, and firms increased their selling prices at the fastest pace since April. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.3 in September from 47.9 in August, marking the third straight month of deteriorating conditions and the worst since June 2023.

Source: S&P Global PMI. ©2024 S&P Global.
Renewed expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening kept the dollar supported as policymakers continued to warn about persistent inflation risks.
Fed, BOJ Hikes Lift Dollar as Oil Falls (21 – 25 September)Global markets entered the week balancing tighter monetary policy against signs of easing Middle East energy risks. The Federal Reserve remains the main macro driver after raising rates to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike since 2023, and signaling that another increase remains possible this year. The Dollar Index advanced to 100.4, while Treasury yields remained elevated. The Bank of Japan also tightened policy, raising rates to 1.25%, although dissent within the board suggested that future increases could come at a slower pace.
Detail Falling Oil Prices Support Metals (09.21.2026)Easing oil prices offered some relief to financial markets as renewed diplomatic efforts in the Middle East reduced immediate inflation concerns.
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