US manufacturing contracted further in September as output and new orders dropped amid weak demand and political uncertainty.
The US manufacturing sector continued to slide deeper into contraction at the end of Q3, with sharper declines in output and new orders in September, driven by weak demand and political uncertainty. Employment experienced its steepest drop since early 2010, excluding the pandemic period. However, business confidence increased slightly, driven by optimism for post-presidential election improvements.
While input cost inflation eased somewhat, it remained notable, and firms increased their selling prices at the fastest pace since April. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.3 in September from 47.9 in August, marking the third straight month of deteriorating conditions and the worst since June 2023.

Source: S&P Global PMI. ©2024 S&P Global.
Fed Inflation Concerns RemainThe latest Federal Reserve minutes show that inflation remains a central concern for policymakers, even as recent economic data has reduced the urgency for another rate increase. Some officials believe price pressures are becoming more widespread, while a smaller group directly supported further tightening.
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Dollar Falls on Debt Concerns as Yields Rise (24 – 28 August)Global markets entered the week with the US dollar under continued pressure as concerns over federal debt and Treasury market management moved to the center of investor attention. The Dollar Index hovered near 98.8 following sharp losses in the previous week, while the US Treasury’s expanded bond buyback programme pushed longer-term yields and the dollar lower. The move supported gold, silver, and major currencies, while investors assessed its longer-term implications for US borrowing costs and the yield curve.
Detail Persistent USD Weakness Lifts Yields (08.24.2026)Global markets remained shaped by persistent U.S. dollar weakness, shifting central bank expectations, and renewed Middle East risks.
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