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Weekly Analysis

Get comprehensive weekly reviews and forecasts to guide your trading strategies. Our weekly analysis offers in-depth reviews of market performance and forecasts to help you plan your trades for the upcoming week.

Latest Market Analysis

Gold Nears Records and Dollar Rebounds Amid Geopolitical Tensions (16 - 20 June) Gold Nears Records and Dollar Rebounds Amid Geopolitical Tensions (16 - 20 June)

The US dollar index rebounded above 98.2 on Friday but remains down for the week. Gains followed Israel’s strike on Iran, increasing safe-haven demand. Earlier weakness came from soft US inflation and trade tensions, raising Fed rate cut expectations. The euro fell to $1.15 after hitting a 3.5-year high, as ECB signaled a pause and the Fed eyed cuts. The yen rose to 143 per dollar on safe-haven flows, with BOJ signaling possible hikes. The pound dipped to $1.35 after weak UK GDP and jobs data, though supported by a softer dollar.

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Markets Juggle Strong U.S. Jobs Data (9 -13 June) Markets Juggle Strong U.S. Jobs Data (9 -13 June)

The US dollar index rose over 0.4% to above 99.1 on Friday after May’s jobs report showed 139,000 new jobs, beating expectations of 126,000. Wages also grew faster than expected, though a downward revision to April’s figures limited optimism. Despite Friday's gains, the dollar is still headed for a small weekly loss due to broader economic slowdown concerns and Fed uncertainty. The euro dropped below $1.14 after the ECB’s 25bps rate cut and downgraded inflation forecasts. President Lagarde suggested the easing cycle may be near its end, while ECB’s Stournaras said the eurozone likely achieved a “soft landing.” The British pound climbed to $1.355, nearing a three-year high, backed by strong UK data and a new £15 billion defense plan under AUKUS. The yen weakened toward 144 as traders processed weak Japanese spending figures and awaited the US jobs report. BOJ Governor Ueda reiterated a possible rate hike if economic forecasts are met.

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Markets Are Mixed as U.S. Data Softens, Fed Signals Caution (2 - 6 June, 2025) Markets Are Mixed as U.S. Data Softens, Fed Signals Caution (2 - 6 June, 2025)

The US Dollar Index hovered near 99.4 as weak GDP and revived Trump tariffs added uncertainty. Fed’s Daly signaled possible 2025 cuts but urged patience. The euro steadied near $1.13 on soft inflation in Spain and France, increasing ECB cut expectations. The pound stayed around $1.35 amid UK trade optimism and pension reform plans. Weak US data supported Fed cut bets. The yen weakened despite strong Tokyo inflation, with some support from safe-haven demand. A BOJ hike is expected in July.

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Dollar Slips on Tariff Fears and Fiscal Woes (26 - 30 May, 2025) Dollar Slips on Tariff Fears and Fiscal Woes (26 - 30 May, 2025)

The dollar index held near 99.5 on Friday, its lowest in over two weeks, as Trump’s proposed 50% tariffs on EU goods and widening U.S. fiscal concerns pressured sentiment. The euro touched $1.137 before easing to $1.13, set for a weekly gain, supported by solid German data but capped by weak PMI and ECB rate cut bets. The yen rose to 143.6, gaining over 1% this week after core inflation hit a two-year high at 3.5%. The pound climbed above $1.347 on strong UK retail sales, improved confidence, and falling energy prices, though inflation at 3.5% kept BoE cut expectations in play.

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Dollar Gains and Gold Slips Amid Risk Appetite (19 - 23 May) Dollar Gains and Gold Slips Amid Risk Appetite (19 - 23 May)

The U.S. dollar held near 100.8, heading for a 0.6% weekly gain as weak data increased Fed cut bets. The euro rebounded to $1.12 on firm inflation and ECB cut hopes. The pound hovered near $1.32 as UK jobs data raised BoE cut odds. The yen rose toward 145 despite Japan’s 0.2% GDP drop, with the BoJ staying cautious.

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Fed Holds Rates and Trade Hopes Lift Sentiment (12 - 16 May) Fed Holds Rates and Trade Hopes Lift Sentiment (12 - 16 May)

The dollar index dipped to 100 on Friday but posted a third weekly gain, supported by the Fed’s steady policy and Trump’s upbeat trade tone. The euro held at $1.13 as traders eyed ECB cuts by year-end. The pound steadied near $1.33 after a limited US-UK trade deal. The yen weakened past 145 on stronger dollar demand and improved global trade sentiment.

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Gold and Oil Drop as Trade Optimism Rises (05 - 09 May) Gold and Oil Drop as Trade Optimism Rises (05 - 09 May)

Gold hovered near $3,250, on track for its worst week in two months as safe-haven demand eased. Trump signaled hopes for a trade deal with China, India, Japan, and South Korea. The euro stayed above $1.13 after April inflation data beat forecasts, reinforcing ECB rate cut bets.

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Global Markets Are Lifted by Trade Optimism (28 April - 2 May) Global Markets Are Lifted by Trade Optimism (28 April - 2 May)

The dollar rose above 99.5, supported by Trump’s trade reassurances and softer stance on Powell. The euro closed at $1.1350, up 5% this month after the ECB cut rates to 2.25%. The yen weakened to 143.65 as trade optimism grew, while Tokyo inflation rose to 3.4%.

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