In January 2025, advance estimates for U.S. retail and food services sales, adjusted for seasonal fluctuations, holidays, and trading-day differences (but not for inflation), amounted to $723.9 billion.
This figure reflects a 0.9% decline (±0.5%) from December 2024 but marks a 4.2% increase (±0.5%) compared to January 2024.
For the three-month period spanning November 2024 to January 2025, sales increased by 4.2% (±0.5%) compared to the same period the previous year. Additionally, the month-over-month sales growth for December 2024 was revised upward from an initial estimate of 0.4% (±0.5%) to 0.7% (±0.3%), indicating stronger-than-expected performance in the final month of 2024.
Retail trade sales experienced a 1.2% decline (±0.5%) from December 2024, but remained 4.0% higher (±0.5%) than in January 2024, demonstrating continued year-over-year growth.
Overall, while retail sales showed a slight pullback from the previous month, the annual growth trends suggest sustained consumer activity across key sectors.

Source: US Census Bureau
Global markets remained focused on U.S. fiscal concerns, shifting central bank expectations, and renewed Middle East tensions.
Fed Inflation Concerns RemainThe latest Federal Reserve minutes show that inflation remains a central concern for policymakers, even as recent economic data has reduced the urgency for another rate increase. Some officials believe price pressures are becoming more widespread, while a smaller group directly supported further tightening.
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Dollar Falls on Debt Concerns as Yields Rise (24 – 28 August)Global markets entered the week with the US dollar under continued pressure as concerns over federal debt and Treasury market management moved to the center of investor attention. The Dollar Index hovered near 98.8 following sharp losses in the previous week, while the US Treasury’s expanded bond buyback programme pushed longer-term yields and the dollar lower. The move supported gold, silver, and major currencies, while investors assessed its longer-term implications for US borrowing costs and the yield curve.
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