The UK economy grew 0.1% in the fourth quarter of 2024, avoiding a projected contraction and improving from zero growth in the previous quarter, according to preliminary data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The modest expansion was driven by gains in the services and construction sectors, though declines in production weighed on overall growth.
On the expenditure side, the economy faced declines in net trade and gross fixed capital formation, signaling weakness in business investment and trade activity. However, these were offset by a large increase in inventories, which helped stabilize growth.
While the 0.1% GDP increase in Q4 signals resilience, the UK economy continues to face headwinds from high interest rates, weak consumer confidence, and global trade uncertainties. Analysts will be closely watching Q1 2025 data to assess whether the economy can sustain growth or if further policy support is needed.
Source: Office for National Statistics
The dollar index rose to 97.8 but ended the week lower, as traders weighed trade progress and awaited the Fed’s decision. The Fed is expected to hold rates steady, with two cuts priced in by year-end. The euro neared $1.175, its highest since 2021, supported by the ECB’s rate pause and geopolitical concerns. The yen edged up after a 15% tariff cap on Japanese goods, while persistent inflation kept BOJ hike expectations alive. The pound slipped to $1.347 as weak UK data fueled bets for a BoE cut in August.
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