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Markets Focus on CBs as Gold Extends Losses (06.30.2026)

Global markets turned their attention to central bank policy as the ECB's Sintra Forum and key inflation data took center stage. 

The euro recovered from a one-year low ahead of speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Meanwhile, gold and silver remained under heavy pressure as easing Middle East tensions and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes reduced demand for precious metals. The Japanese yen weakened to its lowest level since 1986, while sterling stabilized amid political developments in the UK.

Time Cur. Event Forecast      Previous
09:00GBPGDP (QoQ) (Q1)0.6%0.2%
15:00EURGerman CPI (MoM) (Jun)0.1%-0.2%
16:45USDChicago PMI (Jun)60.062.7
17:00USDJOLTS Job Openings (May)7.280M7.618M
17:00USDCB Consumer Confidence94.293.1

Euro Rebounds Ahead of Sintra Forum

After falling to a one-year low last week, the euro rebounded past $1.14 as market participants turned their attention to the ECB's Sintra Forum and upcoming European inflation figures. ECB President Christine Lagarde opens the symposium on Monday. The event's headline panel is set for Wednesday, featuring a high-stakes monetary policy discussion between Lagarde, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey.

The first resistance is positioned at 1.1420 while the support starts from 1.1360.

R1: 1.1420S1: 1.1360
R2: 1.1460S2: 1.1290
R3: 1.1540S3: 1.1200

Gold Hits Eight-Month Low

Gold slipped below $4,000 an ounce on Tuesday, hitting an eight-month low and pacing toward a fourth consecutive monthly drop. Easing Middle East frictions combined with persistent expectations for upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continue to pressure the non-yielding metal. Gold has lost over 12% of its value this month and roughly 15% this quarter.

First resistance is seen at $4050, with initial support near $3960.

R1: 4050S1: 3960
R2: 4088S2: 3840
R3: 4120S3: 3800

Yen Weakens Past 162

The Japanese yen breached the 162 level against the dollar on Tuesday, hitting its lowest valuation since 1986. This steep decline has heightened anxiety among Tokyo officials and fueled intense market speculation over potential direct currency intervention. The yen remains pressured by the vast interest rate gap between the two nations; the Bank of Japan is advancing very slowly with monetary normalization, whereas the Federal Reserve is projected to deliver multiple interest rate hikes later this year.

Initial resistance stands at 162.20, while the first support is at 161.00.

R1: 162.20S1: 161.00
R2: 162.60S2: 160.50
R3: 163.00S3: 160.00

Sterling Stabilizes Above $1.32

The British pound held above $1.32, bouncing back from seven-month lows. This recovery followed a pledge from Andy Burnham, the sole contender to succeed Keir Starmer, to decentralize substantial fiscal authority from Westminster to regional governments while maintaining strict economic discipline.

From a technical view, resistance stands near 1.3240, with support around 1.3150.

R1: 1.3240S1: 1.3150
R2: 1.3350S2: 1.3110
R3: 1.3510S3: 1.3040

Silver Touches Seven-Month Low

Silver slid toward $57 per ounce on Tuesday, nearing its lowest valuation in seven months. The industrial metal is pacing toward a sharp monthly loss, heavily pressured by shifting Middle East dynamics and firming market bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year. Silver prices have plunged over 23% during both the current month and the broader quarter.

From a technical view, resistance stands near $58.90, while support is located around $56.50.

R1: 58.90S1: 56.50
R2: 60.40S2: 54.10
R3: 62.00S3: 50.00
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