Global markets turned their attention to central bank policy as the ECB's Sintra Forum and key inflation data took center stage.
The euro recovered from a one-year low ahead of speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Meanwhile, gold and silver remained under heavy pressure as easing Middle East tensions and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes reduced demand for precious metals. The Japanese yen weakened to its lowest level since 1986, while sterling stabilized amid political developments in the UK.
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 09:00 | GBP | GDP (QoQ) (Q1) | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 15:00 | EUR | German CPI (MoM) (Jun) | 0.1% | -0.2% |
| 16:45 | USD | Chicago PMI (Jun) | 60.0 | 62.7 |
| 17:00 | USD | JOLTS Job Openings (May) | 7.280M | 7.618M |
| 17:00 | USD | CB Consumer Confidence | 94.2 | 93.1 |

After falling to a one-year low last week, the euro rebounded past $1.14 as market participants turned their attention to the ECB's Sintra Forum and upcoming European inflation figures. ECB President Christine Lagarde opens the symposium on Monday. The event's headline panel is set for Wednesday, featuring a high-stakes monetary policy discussion between Lagarde, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey.
The first resistance is positioned at 1.1420 while the support starts from 1.1360.
| R1: 1.1420 | S1: 1.1360 |
| R2: 1.1460 | S2: 1.1290 |
| R3: 1.1540 | S3: 1.1200 |

Gold slipped below $4,000 an ounce on Tuesday, hitting an eight-month low and pacing toward a fourth consecutive monthly drop. Easing Middle East frictions combined with persistent expectations for upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continue to pressure the non-yielding metal. Gold has lost over 12% of its value this month and roughly 15% this quarter.
First resistance is seen at $4050, with initial support near $3960.
| R1: 4050 | S1: 3960 |
| R2: 4088 | S2: 3840 |
| R3: 4120 | S3: 3800 |

The Japanese yen breached the 162 level against the dollar on Tuesday, hitting its lowest valuation since 1986. This steep decline has heightened anxiety among Tokyo officials and fueled intense market speculation over potential direct currency intervention. The yen remains pressured by the vast interest rate gap between the two nations; the Bank of Japan is advancing very slowly with monetary normalization, whereas the Federal Reserve is projected to deliver multiple interest rate hikes later this year.
Initial resistance stands at 162.20, while the first support is at 161.00.
| R1: 162.20 | S1: 161.00 |
| R2: 162.60 | S2: 160.50 |
| R3: 163.00 | S3: 160.00 |

The British pound held above $1.32, bouncing back from seven-month lows. This recovery followed a pledge from Andy Burnham, the sole contender to succeed Keir Starmer, to decentralize substantial fiscal authority from Westminster to regional governments while maintaining strict economic discipline.
From a technical view, resistance stands near 1.3240, with support around 1.3150.
| R1: 1.3240 | S1: 1.3150 |
| R2: 1.3350 | S2: 1.3110 |
| R3: 1.3510 | S3: 1.3040 |

Silver slid toward $57 per ounce on Tuesday, nearing its lowest valuation in seven months. The industrial metal is pacing toward a sharp monthly loss, heavily pressured by shifting Middle East dynamics and firming market bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year. Silver prices have plunged over 23% during both the current month and the broader quarter.
From a technical view, resistance stands near $58.90, while support is located around $56.50.
| R1: 58.90 | S1: 56.50 |
| R2: 60.40 | S2: 54.10 |
| R3: 62.00 | S3: 50.00 |
Fed Hike Bets Rise Ahead of Jobs Data (29 June – 3 July)Global markets entered the week with investors focused on the upcoming US labor market report, which is expected to provide the next major signal for Federal Reserve policy. The US dollar remained near its highest level in more than a year after last week’s strong rally, supported by hawkish comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and growing expectations of further monetary tightening. At the same time, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz briefly reignited inflation concerns before both sides agreed to suspend military action ahead of another round of peace talks in Doha.
Detail Markets Brace for Doha Talks (06.29.2026)Global markets opened the week cautiously as investors balanced renewed U.S.–Iran tensions with hopes for diplomatic progress ahead of peace talks in Doha.
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